Kentucky vs Mississippi 10/2/2010

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Kentucky winning 51% of simulations, and Mississippi 49% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Kentucky commits fewer turnovers in 47% of simulations and they go on to win 62% when they take care of the ball. Mississippi wins 65% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Derrick Locke is averaging 108 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (36% chance) then he helps his team win 66%. Brandon Bolden is averaging 74 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (31% chance) then he helps his team win 64%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MISS -2.5 --- Over/Under line is 58.5

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